Building Frontier Systems for
Forecasting
The future is path dependent. Our goal is to forecast, simulate, and quantify uncertainties using AI systems. We aim to understand the evolving manifold of knowledge, epistemics and how the world is evolving.
We believe these abilities must be democratized. Our products and experiments explore how we can collectively govern autonomous productive systems in the future.
What we're working on
Post-training for forecasting
Making models produce calibrated predictions, not just plausible text.
Epistemic search
Separating what a model knows from what it can fluently say.
Continuously updating world models
Maintaining a living world model. What models actually know, kept current for forecasting.
Experiments & Products
Axion
Multi-agent system for decision-making. Built for capital allocators, strategists, and anyone reasoning through high-stakes forecasts.
axion.eternis.aiFreysa
An agent with her own money and private keys, evolving over time. Agents with resources will exist, and governance layers are needed for a human-AI future.
freysa.aiSilo
A private AI app and box. Access models privately (hosted in TEEs), with data that never leaves your control. Purchase a box so you can host models locally as well.
siloprivacy.comJoin Us
$30M raised. San Francisco preferred, high-agency remote welcome.
We want people who are answering questions such as:
- · How should coordination scale in a world where every human has a digital twin?
- · How can we build first-order world models without pretraining on the world's data?
- · How do LLMs represent beliefs?
- · What makes a good forecaster, and can we robustly benchmark it?
- · Are there laws tying compute to scientific production, and can we formalize the intuition behind discovery and better decisions?
- · Can we automate the discovery of new coordination mechanisms — retroactive funding, incentive design, agent alignment around shared goals?
